A number of surveys on financial sentiment reveal an interesting trend: middle-income Americans are optimistic about their finances, even amid prevalent economic uncertainties. This article will thoroughly examine recent survey data to explore and analyze the factors contributing to this positive outlook.
Primerica Survey (April 2023)
A 2023 survey by Primerica showed a notable shift in concerns among middle-income Americans, particularly regarding health-related issues and personal financial security. Health concerns, such as escalating medical expenses — rising to 20% of household budgets — and their potential impact on long-term well-being, surpassed inflation as the primary worry, which had previously been the leading concern, and fears of a recession had lessened.
Despite a majority, or 59%, perceiving their income as insufficient to keep up with the cost of living, optimism about personal finances showed a modest increase over the past year, with 48% of Americans planning to use their tax refunds to enhance financial security.
Primerica Survey (January 2024)
Primerica’s Financial Security Monitor™ (FSM™) survey earlier this year presented a mixed picture; however, 50% of middle-income Americans viewed their personal financial situation positively. Amidst ongoing concerns about inflation and rising living costs, this was an improvement of 5% from previous years. The Household Budget Index™ (HBI™) rose to 102.5 in December 2023, suggesting increased purchasing power compared to earlier periods.
This rise is largely due to a decline in gas prices and modest increases in other necessities.
On the other hand, debt remained a significant concern, with 80% expressing anxiety over credit card debt and a large portion lacking awareness of their credit card interest rates. Despite the fact that many respondents (40%) were still pessimistic about the broader economic outlook, and 60% expecting the economy to worsen, middle-income citizens’ optimism had remained stable, reflecting a positive perspective on their personal financial situations.
Santander Survey (April 2024)
In early April, 2024, the Santander survey revealed a shift in sentiment among middle-income Americans. Despite ongoing inflation, there was a growing sense of financial stability. The Consumer Sentiment Index hit a record high of 79.4 in March 2024, reflecting an improved outlook as inflation impacts moderate. The survey showed that 74% of respondents believe they are on the right path to financial prosperity, although 60% had previously expected a recession within a year.
Interestingly, 67% reported cutting major purchases, such as vacations and home repairs, to manage their budgets. The survey also notes that many are missing out on higher interest rates, with 60% of respondents not optimizing their savings opportunities in the current high-rate environment.
TruStage Survey (August 2024)
The most recent TruStage Middle Market Survey, conducted among 1,500 middle-income Americans — those with a household income between $50,000 and $150,000 — has also shown nearly the same trend: middle-income Americans are remarkably optimistic about their personal finances.
“The fact that more than half of the middle market still have not seen a financial advisor points to a broader challenge that our industry must rise to, said Terrance Williams, CEO of TruStage.”
Although nearly two-thirds (61%) of middle-market Americans express concerns about the economy — particularly regarding rising inflation (87%), higher taxes (84%), and the upcoming Presidential election (81%) — there are encouraging signs. Specifically, 92% of respondents are able to cover their monthly expenses, and 55% are saving at least a portion of their income.
However, the survey also uncovered areas of concern. Despite financial concerns leading 58% of individuals to rely on savings for an unexpected $1,000 expense and 28% potentially using credit cards, overall financial management remains robust. Improvements in financial service accessibility are evident as well, with 92% of respondents finding insurance products accessible, and a positive financial outlook is notably strong among younger generations.
Regarding concerns such as the cost of financial advisors, Williams said, “We need to directly address these misconceptions to ensure every American feels they have access to guidance and resources that help them confidently make financial decisions.”
Analyzing the Trends
The data across these surveys reveal a complex picture; middle-income Americans exhibit a remarkable level of optimism despite prevailing economic challenges. Many of the respondents say they have adapted to the high-cost environment. They have become accustomed to inflation and high interest rates, adjusting their spending and savings strategies accordingly. This sentiment, though seemingly contradictory given the high inflation and elevated interest rates, can be understood through a combination of adaptation to new economic realities, strategic financial behavior, and a recalibration of expectations.
Adaptation to economic conditions
Middle-income Americans have become accustomed to persistent high inflation and have adjusted their financial strategies accordingly. Many Americans, according to a recent Santander survey, have accepted the high-interest rate environment as the new normal, which has led to a decrease in the number of people expecting a recession in the near future — from 69% to 60%. This acceptance is a significant factor in why these households feel more confident about their financial situation. By acknowledging and adapting to the current economic conditions, they have almost neutralized the uncertainty that typically accompanies economic downturns.
This general acceptance is further reflected in the specific financial adjustments observed among middle-income Americans. According to the Santander survey, they have adapted by prioritizing essential spending (47%), cutting non-essential expenses (61%), and seeking alternative income streams such as gig work or part-time jobs (21%). These actions illustrate a broader trend of financial adjustment aimed at maintaining stability in the face of ongoing economic challenges.
Improved financial management
Another key factor contributing to this optimism is the proactive financial management strategies adopted by these households. The same survey highlighted that 67% of respondents have made deep budget cuts, eliminating major purchases such as vacations and home repairs . This strategy has enabled them to better navigate the financial challenges posed by inflation and high costs of living. By cutting back on non-essential expenses, middle-income Americans have been able to allocate more resources toward savings and debt reduction, further boosting their financial confidence.
Although the March survey by Bankrate found that 60% of respondents are still earning less than 3% interest on their savings, the opportunity to move funds into higher-yield accounts, such as certificates of deposit (CDs) and high-yield savings accounts, offers a path to improved financial security. This potential for higher returns on savings, even in a high-rate environment, is another reason for the cautious optimism observed among middle-income Americans.
Real gains in purchasing power
The Primerica surveys show an increase in positive financial outlooks and confidence in financial stability. This optimism is reflected in their willingness to adjust their budgets and seek opportunities for financial growth, such as leveraging high-interest savings accounts. In December 2023, the HBI reached 102.5%, indicating that these households’ purchasing power had surpassed inflation for the first time since February 2022 . This gain was primarily driven by a decline in gas prices and a slower increase in the cost of necessities like food and healthcare. With more breathing room in their budgets, middle-income Americans have been able to manage their finances more effectively, which has contributed to a more positive outlook.
Resilience and strategic outlook
According to the TruStage Survey, middle-income Americans’ optimism stems from effective financial management and better resource access. This optimism reflects a broader stability and strategic outlook among middle-income Americans. Despite concerns about inflation and taxes, 92% cover monthly expenses and 55% save. 50% of respondents in a Primerica survey still express concerns about their financial situation; however, this represents a stabilization compared to previous periods of more pronounced pessimism.
With fewer middle-income Americans prioritizing inflation as their primary concern and more focusing on managing debt and other financial goals, it is clear that they are taking proactive steps to secure their financial future. Moreover,
This steadfast and adaptive mindset, in a nutshell, clearly displays how middle-income Americans effectively manage economic challenges with confidence and careful financial planning, as evidenced by these four surveys.
But persistent concerns about recession and economic uncertainties are likely to add complexity to the overall financial environment. For middle-income Americans, maintaining the same level of resilience and optimism may become increasingly challenging and costly.